Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 3.333676 3.895597 4.539551 5.335717 6.298554 7.431485 8.874541
2025-01-26 2.631147 3.385593 4.353686 5.703755 7.564491 10.078398 13.800141
2025-02-02 2.235675 3.061688 4.203223 5.929911 8.535963 12.423357 18.859269
2025-02-09 1.981704 2.852581 4.130476 6.197443 9.565351 15.037879 25.045257
2025-02-16 1.751623 2.626085 3.974165 6.280581 10.292324 17.315245 31.351138
2025-02-23 1.578572 2.452588 3.860035 6.392327 11.067036 19.836441 38.907024
2025-03-02 1.408157 2.254759 3.669570 6.327925 11.497341 21.809473 46.022908
2025-03-09 1.296563 2.136907 3.592386 6.445327 12.285839 24.678535 56.159128
2025-03-16 1.176756 1.987869 3.436519 6.382272 12.691504 26.836547 65.436269
2025-03-23 1.079793 1.866581 3.312892 6.358085 13.169133 29.279179 76.475590
2025-03-30 0.983812 1.735312 3.152233 6.229163 13.383898 31.150599 86.734864
2025-04-06 0.928490 1.673622 3.117538 6.360417 14.230590 34.863689 104.419816
2025-04-13 0.838476 1.545265 2.953988 6.230291 14.546659 37.646167 122.099743
2025-04-20 0.806680 1.530208 3.026430 6.670873 16.495860 46.024633 166.980782
2025-04-27 0.763891 1.485969 3.028264 6.942289 18.082153 54.076884 218.250243
2025-05-04 0.728860 1.452725 3.048187 7.263729 19.927875 63.968039 288.710094
2025-05-11 0.682762 1.389205 2.988552 7.363704 21.141885 72.287513 361.490099
2025-05-18 0.643628 1.335964 2.944725 7.498146 22.524824 82.103298 456.825404
2025-05-25 0.597048 1.260027 2.834479 7.420655 23.171537 89.287416 546.397703
2025-06-01 0.566337 1.217205 2.800458 7.561934 24.664898 101.286507 693.183454
2025-06-08 0.528375 1.152740 2.701883 7.486045 25.329815 109.833354 829.227392
2025-06-15 0.496171 1.098605 2.622955 7.456942 26.184086 120.051504 1004.929796
2025-06-22 0.461857 1.035606 2.511965 7.301867 26.480830 127.544687 1172.189764